Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 21.918895 25.394065 29.176625 33.591018 38.592441 44.073944 50.527138
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.452463 20.044972 25.550471 32.596013 41.327866 51.745898 65.063540
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.038462 17.088690 23.621238 32.598142 44.506186 59.639667 80.186192
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.860298 15.105807 22.337293 32.875979 47.649503 67.398283 95.518854
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.650982 12.594244 19.826660 30.952810 47.352798 70.294050 104.372441
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.725345 11.764889 19.515748 31.987110 51.142693 78.944560 121.673252
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.144197 11.351868 19.725999 33.745005 56.066775 89.515015 142.448559
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.169586 10.113597 18.440418 32.960857 56.945627 94.065721 154.563397
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.243314 8.793077 16.818215 31.388547 56.336678 96.178257 162.979605
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.029491 8.734837 17.338102 33.451587 61.811289 108.193264 187.644300
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.972888 8.963787 18.383438 36.513850 69.197055 123.764831 218.979753
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.550631 8.394277 17.879084 36.717964 71.622736 131.285196 237.590563
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.060269 7.630779 16.961946 36.161741 72.839717 137.186097 254.510321
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.587627 6.824179 15.858658 35.140087 73.149063 141.624374 269.430328
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.278358 6.328271 15.317175 35.150500 75.372407 149.581541 291.010508
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.034763 5.940116 14.945098 35.449293 78.154504 158.717425 315.261677
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.659463 5.141562 13.542216 33.392112 76.041105 158.601719 322.659947
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.540281 4.989939 13.597183 34.498830 80.443342 171.071929 354.110075
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.476496 4.978244 13.981242 36.379130 86.610281 187.340050 393.681834
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.274054 4.526588 13.221575 35.540476 86.902202 192.092294 411.496317
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.061105 3.991702 12.164119 33.858439 85.175406 192.649044 421.130275
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.040640 4.055612 12.684501 36.065335 92.303130 211.683709 468.407440
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.060510 4.255631 13.597568 39.339351 102.105213 236.814398 529.210509